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Swine Flu 1976 - Old Vaccines, New Lessons

by: SusanC

Tue Mar 31, 2009 at 20:15:08 PM EDT


A follow-up to this diary has been posted here Guillain-Barre Syndrome after Influenza Vaccination - More Lessons from 1976

Anti-Ganglioside Antibody Induction by Swine (A/NJ/1976/H1N1) and Other Influenza Vaccines: Insights into Vaccine-Associated Guillain-Barré Syndrome

The US army suffered heavy losses during the 1918 pandemic - more men died from flu than from fighting in the War.  When an outbreak of swine flu occurred in 1976 among army recruits in a camp, the US government ordered millions of doses of vaccines against the virus, in anticipation of another pandemic.  But a pandemic didn't happen.  Instead, the massive vaccination campaign resulted in reports of Guillaine-Barre syndrome (or GBS) in some vaccine recipients, eventually causing the vaccination program to be halted.  

Now, decades later, researchers sought to discover how this happened. A paper published last year (link) gives some unexpected and disturbing findings.  

SusanC :: Swine Flu 1976 - Old Vaccines, New Lessons
First of all, Guillain-Barre Syndrome is an autoimmune neurological disease characterized by acute onset of muscle weakness or paralysis.  Patients develop antibodies to certain molecules (anti-ganglioside antibodies) present in large quantities in nerve tissue, possibly as a result of molecular mimicry ie structural similarity between bacterial or viral antigens and the body's own molecules.  

From the paper:

Patients with GBS develop anti-ganglioside antibodies that are implicated in the pathogenesis of this disease. Antibodies to a number of different complex gangliosides, includingGM1,GD1a, GD3, GT1a, and GQ1b, can be detected in patients with GBS [10]. Infections with several agents are associated with the development of GBS [11], and Campylobacter jejuni, a common cause of bacterial gastroenteritis, is one of the most frequently identified bacterial pathogens associated with the development of GBS [12]. It has been deduced that the development of GBS after C. jejuni infection is the result of molecular mimicry between the bacterial surface lipooligosaccharide (LOS) expressing
ganglioside-like epitopes and relevant targets in peripheral nerves [10, 13].

Because influenza vaccines are grown in eggs, and because eggs are frequently contaminated with C. jejunei, the researchers set out to discover whether vaccine contamination with C. jejunei might be the cause of the GBS outbreak.

Here's what they did.  They obtained unopened vaccine samples from 11 vaccine lots containing the 1976 swine flu vaccine, from 3 different manufacturers.  First they tested these vaccines for haemagglutinin inhibition (HAI) test, to prove they still had HA activity.  Then they vaccinated mice with these vaccines, and tested their serum samples for antibodies to C. jejunei.  They did NOT find any such antibodies.  They also ran some PCR tests, again for C. jejunei, with the vaccine samples, and didn't find anything either.

So, that showed them, the 1976 vaccines were NOT contaminated with C. jejunei.  So far so good.

But what they did find was rather disconcerting.  They found that even though no c. jejunei was present, the mice all developed anti-ganglioside antibodies, just like patients with GBS would.

After that, they tested 2 other influenza vaccines, from 1991-92, and 2004-05 flu seasons.  They found similar results - the mice did NOT develop antibodies against C. jejunei (showing there was no contamination) but they DID develop anti-ganglioside antibodies.

To verify this in a different way, they did 2 other tests:

1) they tested the vaccine samples with anti-ganglioside anti-sera, which would be expected to react to the presence of gangliosides or molecules that mimic gangliosides.  They found that the same vaccine lots reacted with these anti-sera, showing that the vaccines indeed contain some substance that acts as ganglioside mimics.

2) They tested commercial anti-ganglioside anti-sera, for HAI activity, and again found positive results, showing that there may indeed be some mimicry between ganglioside and HA molecults.

So, up to this point, they have shown that there was something in those vaccines that had ganglioside mimic characteristics, and that this may well be the HA molecule itself (since commercial anti-ganglioside anti-sera had HAI activity!).  So far, the tested vaccines were all subunit vaccines.  

Finally, they tested a recombinant HA vaccine, ie a vaccine that ONLY contains the HA molecule and nothing else.  This time they used the H5 vaccines, generated against the 1997 Hong Kong virus, and another against the Vietnam 2004 virus.  Again they got the same results - the HA vaccine triggered the development of anti-ganglioside antibodies in vaccinated mice.

So what does this study tell us?  If the results are correct (it's always prudent to get other researchers to repeat the study), it shows that the HA in influenza virus itself, irrespective of which virus, has some properties that can trigger anti-ganglioside antibodies.  Although the mice did not develop symptoms of GBS (we know that mice are not good models for human disease) this is a worrying finding.  Current vaccination strategies, whatever vaccine you use, focus on the HA as the main target antigen.  The aim is to produce robust immune response against the HA.  If, as this study suggests, HA is in fact a molecular mimic for molecules in our nervous system, it may not be a smart idea to stimulate strong antibody reactions against HA, after all!

In the words of one FDA scientist, there may be a good reason why we are not MEANT to have strong immune responses against influenza viruses!  Of course, this is speculative at this point, but it really is something worth watching IMO.

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Here's an overview of GBS
Clinical features, pathogenesis, and treatment of Guillain-Barré syndrome

Summary

Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) is an important cause of acute neuromuscular paralysis. Molecular mimicry and a cross-reactive immune response play a crucial part in its pathogenesis, at least in those cases with a preceding Campylobacter jejuni infection and with antibodies to gangliosides. The type of preceding infection and patient-related host factors seem to determine the form and severity of the disease. Intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIg) and plasma exchange are effective treatments in GBS; mainly for practical reasons, IVIg is the preferred treatment. Whether mildly affected patients or patients with Miller Fisher syndrome also benefit from IVIg is unclear.

Despite medical treatment, GBS often remains a severe disease; 3-10% of patients die and 20% are still unable to walk after 6 months. In addition, many patients have pain and fatigue that can persist for months or years. Advances in prognostic modelling have resulted in the development of a new and simple prognostic outcome scale that might also help to guide new treatment options, particularly in patients with GBS who have a poor prognosis.




All 'safety concerns' are hypothetical.  If not, they'd be called side effects...


what the authors said
Previous studies of the immunogenicity of influenza vaccines in animals or humans have not examined anti-ganglioside antibody responses and should be considered in future vaccine studies.

I hope they get on with this asap, and test the pandemic vaccines in the pipeline, for such responses.  Cos it may be that the stronger the vaccine, the stronger the risk of triggering GBS in recipients!

Right now, the issue is wide open.  There are lots of questions, and not many answers...  


All 'safety concerns' are hypothetical.  If not, they'd be called side effects...


Research on the stem part of HA is recent.
Might that be a safer design for a vaccine?

...In discovering this new, hidden vulnerability, the researchers have realized that the virus has been fooling them, and our bodies, all along. "The virus has very cleverly developed an area on the top of its coat protein that creates a molecular decoy," said Marasco. He speculates that the immune system mounts a full-scale attack against the easy-to-spot decoy while it simultaneously suppresses any efforts to target the elusive stem. Similarly, new vaccines chase the decoy each season hoping to hit it just right.

http://focus.hms.harvard.edu/2...

It would be convenient to find that this decoy molecule is the thing that's like our nervous system molecule.  It's so new that progress is probably years away, though.

(This whole idea may be off the wall.  I haven't a clue, really.)  

If it's plausible, is it the kind of vaccine that can be made by cellular technology and not grown in eggs?

"The truth does not change according to our ability to stomach it."  Flannery O'Connor


hey you beat me to it LOL
I was going to write about that in the next diary.  Yes, that is looking good, but it really is a VERY long way off in the future.  I have to save that for another day, it's late here.  But you're right, not everything is bad news.


All 'safety concerns' are hypothetical.  If not, they'd be called side effects...


[ Parent ]
Beyond the science of it all
(excellent review btw as always Susan), another key learning was how the gov't and public reacted when there were reports about the "dangers" of the vaccine.  That reaction likely wouldn't change unless the cfr is very high.  If people don't see a high risk of dying from the disease they sure won't take the risk for a vaccine.  Add a little uncertainy about whether the vaccine is effective or not and no one will sign up.  In the meantime the virus spreads like wildfire until it's too late...assuming of course they have a vaccine to begin with.

yes, and there are 2 parts to that issue
The risk perception depends on whether you are talking about prepandemic or pandemic use.  The 1976 swine flu episode was such a mess partly because it was prepandemic.  In the absence of an immediate threat, the risk acceptance is, rightly, much lower.  But a pandemic will happen so much faster than the time taken to produce a vaccine, that by the time a vaccine is available for the general public, most people would have gotten quite clear on their own risk/benefit calculations with regards to the vaccine, AS LONG AS they are made aware of the likely adverse consequences of vaccination.  

The time to study the possible adverse effects of different vaccines is NOW.  Which vaccines to use, what formulation, what dose, etc should be decided well ahead of time.  My biggest concern is governments not doing their homework, and happen to pick a vaccine or vaccines that have unfavorable adverse effects, especially for younger people.  In that situation, as and when some people experience adverse effects, there may be a great deal of uncertainty and anxiety with the general public, as they discover that even the experts are not sure which is the lesser of 2 evils, natural infection or vaccine.  THAT will be the worse of both worlds!


All 'safety concerns' are hypothetical.  If not, they'd be called side effects...


[ Parent ]
If side effects do not show up immediately, in vaccine recipients,
then the dangers of vaccination can't be included in someone's cost/benefit analysis.  Don't some immune system malfunctions or diseases take years to develop?  

I don't remember the details, but I knew a woman who was treated as a child for something involving her thyroid, and later it was "Oops, we shouldn't have used so much radioactivity....."  Now she has a chronic situation, for the rest of her life.

"The truth does not change according to our ability to stomach it."  Flannery O'Connor


[ Parent ]
well if you are talking about GBS
as this study was about, that would happen pretty quickly.  But you are right, we have very poor means of tracking any longer-term or more subtle effects of vaccines.


All 'safety concerns' are hypothetical.  If not, they'd be called side effects...


[ Parent ]
seasonal vaccine
so it doesn't matter whether the vaccine is grown in eggs or cells ?

what is with seasonal vax ? Same risk of GBS as 1976 swine flu vax ?

ask experts for their subjective
panflu death expectation values
and report the replies


[ Parent ]
at least in this one study
so it doesn't matter whether the vaccine is grown in eggs or cells ?

both the egg-based and recombinant vaccines induce these antibodies

what is with seasonal vax ? Same risk of GBS as 1976 swine flu vax ?

It's hard to say.  Cos this is just one study, in mice.  The actual risk of GBS with seasonal flu vax (and even with the 1976 vaccine) is disputed by some.  Our ability to track, verify, and quantify vaccine adverse events is very poor.


All 'safety concerns' are hypothetical.  If not, they'd be called side effects...


[ Parent ]
one per million
It is thought that GBS may be triggered by an infection. The infection that most commonly precedes GBS is caused by a bacterium called Campylobacter jejuni. Other respiratory or intestinal illnesses and other triggers may also precede an episode of GBS. In 1976, vaccination with the swine flu vaccine was associated with getting GBS. Several studies have been done to evaluate if other flu vaccines since 1976 were associated with GBS. Only one of the studies showed an association. That study suggested that one person out of 1 million vaccinated persons may be at risk of GBS associated with the vaccine.

http://www.cdc.gov/FLU/about/q...

ask experts for their subjective
panflu death expectation values
and report the replies


[ Parent ]
500 per 40M

40M vaccinated in 1976, 500 got GBS

[in 1976...]
After just a few weeks, just about 100 people died shortly after being injected with the vaccine and more than 500 people got Guillain-Barré syndrome

http://alternativemedicaltreat...


ask experts for their subjective
panflu death expectation values
and report the replies


[ Parent ]
swine flu shot and GBS
from an old CBS documentary http://www.dailymotion.com/vid...

Well worth watching.  Hat tip to JerryH at PFI.


All 'safety concerns' are hypothetical.  If not, they'd be called side effects...


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