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Tue Aug 19, 2008 at 15:00:57 PM EDT
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| http://www.plosone.org/article...
Effective, Robust Design of Community Mitigation for Pandemic Influenza: A Systematic Examination of Proposed US Guidance
Victoria J. Davey , Robert J. Glass , H. Jason Min , Walter E. Beyeler , Laura M. Glass |
| gs :: new paper about mitigation strategies |
| my summary : (I haven't read the whole paper yet)
best strategy :
network- and case-based interventions; network-based interventions are paramount. [priority]
applied rapidly, regionally, and stringently
For a 1918-like pandemic, the best strategy minimizes illness to <1% of the population
network-based : e.g. school closure, social distancing of all with adults' contacts at work reduced
case-based measures : e.g. antiviral treatment of the ill and prophylaxis of household members
pre-pandemic vaccine with 7% population coverage had minimal effect on outcomes
[no mention of larger coverage ?]
In order, mitigation success depends on
* rapid strategy implementation,
* high compliance,
* regional mitigation,
* rigorous rescinding criteria [aufheben]
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