This is a diary you all need to help me write. We've been discussing this on line elsewhere (Nightowl at PFI has a post up), and examples are given of food distribution service advice, teacher's union, and (as we know) pandemicflu.gov all saying that people should prep for two weeks, or 1-2 weeks.
While a big jump from the three day all-hazard approach, many on line feel differently. Help write the rationale for more.
|There is an interesting dynamic developing in the (greater) on line flu community: we are getting large enough for considerable disagreement about policy, tactics and strategy. That's a very good thing... the world is not monolithic, as clark often reminds me. ;-)
What is clear, however, is that current policy from the US Government on down is to prep for two weeks. My thinking on this is in flux. Clearly, many if not most on line advocate for 12 weeks as a hedge against being stuck at home in a pandemic wave that may last in the community for 6 to 8 weeks, or perhaps more. OTOH, food distribution doesn't stop the moment flu reaches your contiguous state, which is when the school shut-down trigger will likely be pulled.
We also know that it is required for the authorities to broadcast a message if we expect others to listen. Right now, the message from HHS is
To plan for a pandemic: The message from the unions and the professional societies will resemble this (see link):
- Store a two week supply of water and food. During a pandemic, if you cannot get to a store, or if stores are out of supplies, it will be important for you to have extra supplies on hand. This can be useful in other types of emergencies, such as power outages and disasters.
- Periodically check your regular prescription drugs to ensure a continuous supply in your home.
- Have any nonprescription drugs and other health supplies on hand, including pain relievers, stomach remedies, cough and cold medicines, fluids with electrolytes, and vitamins.
- Talk with family members and loved ones about how they would be cared for if they got sick, or what will be needed to care for them in your home.
- Volunteer with local groups to prepare and assist with emergency response.
- Get involved in your community as it works to prepare for an influenza pandemic.
- Start now so you have a week or two supply of water and food. Get a few items every time you go to the grocery store and buy food that is:
- easy to prepare
- requires little or no water so you can preserve water for drinking
So, do we go further? Here is your chance to make the case, not to defend your approach (not necessary! and no one is stopping anyone from doing more) but rather to help convince and persuade others, including the Feds. What's the rationale? Can we make a case for more prep than this, even as we recognize this is a great first step?
Without a coherent rationale, it is unlikely policy will change. Yet, policy is not fixed. Write your thoughts here, and we will send the policymakers the link.